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Discussion Starter · #1 ·
Just curious what y’all think is possible per month and the year end.

if I’m number 36000 on the reservation list to be made, are my odds low of getting a truck this fall? I’m sure we don’t really know but hopefully they produce Mavericks similar to F-150s.
 

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The Maverick is being built at the Hermosillo Plant. This is the same plant where the Bronco Sport is built.
This shows the Bronco Sport production numbers for Jan-April of this year:
689


With that in mind:
Production starts Aug 16th.
Hermosillio has an output capacity of about 25K vehicles total per month at full capacity (Reported to be > 300K units produced per year, which is 25K per mo.).

Maybe someone with insight as to how many Mavericks will be scheduled per week/month can share those details, but I suspect that it will be around 10K/mo or better to get the plant back to 100% operating capacity, so at the latest you are looking at November right now.

Also keep in mind the number of reservations is not the number of orders. Some people may change their minds and some may wait until the smoke clears to convert. If the 65/35 rule holds true, it could be October, or maybe sooner with those of us with orders that have constraint/late availability items like Rapid Red paint, splash guards, etc. as we get bumped and others move up to fill those slots.
 

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This is the additional info I have on the semiconductor thing:

The Hermosillo Assembly Plant in Mexico will run one of two shifts the weeks of July 12 and July 19.

Retail units don't go into production until August 16th, and there is some pressure being alleviated on semiconductors as things are resuming, but its not an overnight fix. Things will still be tight well into 2023, but it will improve in stages depending on when suppliers get back to it and when other facilities come online (even some in the US are in the process of ramping up).I don't know how Ford is doing things internally or what their supply channels are personally, but MAP is expected to go full production on August 2nd, 2 weeks before retail Maverick production starts. It is possible Ford has secured supply, or they are going to produce everything they can until their supply dries up completely. Neither MAP or Hermosillo is currently scheduled to shut down in August, so that is hopefully a good sign.
 

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This is the additional info I have on the semiconductor thing:

The Hermosillo Assembly Plant in Mexico will run one of two shifts the weeks of July 12 and July 19.

Retail units don't go into production until August 16th, and there is some pressure being alleviated on semiconductors as things are resuming, but its not an overnight fix. Things will still be tight well into 2023, but it will improve in stages depending on when suppliers get back to it and when other facilities come online (even some in the US are in the process of ramping up).I don't know how Ford is doing things internally or what their supply channels are personally, but MAP is expected to go full production on August 2nd, 2 weeks before retail Maverick production starts. It is possible Ford has secured supply, or they are going to produce everything they can until their supply dries up completely. Neither MAP or Hermosillo is currently scheduled to shut down in August, so that is hopefully a good sign.
It is more possible to look at all the empty Ford dealer car lots across the country. And tell that they Do Not have a secure supply of chips and the supply’s were gone long long ago .
When was the last time you saw a new car carrier on the road full of NEW cars ?
 

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It is more possible to look at all the empty Ford dealer car lots across the country. And tell that they Do Not have a secure supply of chips and the supply’s were gone long long ago .
When was the last time you saw a new car carrier on the road full of NEW cars ?
I see a few here and there. Nowhere near as many as I used to 5 or 6 months ago, but more than I saw a few weeks ago. The chevy dealership I drive by to get to the Interstate every day got 2 last week. Still not enough to replenish their lot, but it puts their new vehicles back in double digits. It just takes time.
 

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The Maverick is being built at the Hermosillo Plant. This is the same plant where the Bronco Sport is built.
This shows the Bronco Sport production numbers for Jan-April of this year:
View attachment 689

With that in mind:
Production starts Aug 16th.
Hermosillio has an output capacity of about 25K vehicles total per month at full capacity (Reported to be > 300K units produced per year, which is 25K per mo.).

Maybe someone with insight as to how many Mavericks will be scheduled per week/month can share those details, but I suspect that it will be around 10K/mo or better to get the plant back to 100% operating capacity, so at the latest you are looking at November right now.

Also keep in mind the number of reservations is not the number of orders. Some people may change their minds and some may wait until the smoke clears to convert. If the 65/35 rule holds true, it could be October, or maybe sooner with those of us with orders that have constraint/late availability items like Rapid Red paint, splash guards, etc. as we get bumped and others move up to fill those slots.
FWIW, a Ford rep told me not to expect Mavs until mid-October on….
 
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